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#1 15-08-2018 02:18:33

Date d'inscription: 16-07-2018
Messages: 64

Experts have put forward different explanations

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by Xinhua Writer Chen Jipeng

BEIJING, May 26 (Xinhua) -- The puzzling long spell of uninterrupted slow global trade growth since the financial crisis of 2008 is set to feed into the agenda of this year's Group of 20 (G20) Summit.

With the Doha round still in a deadlock, experts expect G20 policymakers to seek progress in certain segments of trade when they gather in China's coastal city of Hangzhou in September.

"It's not going to be easy. But if you don't move forward, then the alternative, from my perspective, is not particularly promising, either, especially at a time when you have global slowdowns," said Deborah Elms, executive director of Asian Trade Center, a Singapore-based consultancy.

Global trade growth has been roughly the same as global gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the post-crisis period, compared to roughly twice the speed of global GDP expansion before the crisis. The World Trade Organization (WTO) expects global trade growth to remain subdued this year at 2.8 percent, the fifth consecutive year of growth below 3 percent.

Experts have put forward different explanations, citing both cyclical and structural factors, however, they remain unconvincing.

"It's puzzling. We don't have a clear understanding of what's going on really," Elms said.

Song Hong, senior fellow at Institute of World Economics and Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the decline is largely due to a deceleration in globalization, explained by two factors.

The first is a slowdown in outbound investment and trade as the governments of many countries have tended to focus on local employment in the post-crisis period. The second and more important structural change, Song said, is a slowdown in the globalization process characterized by China as the central link in global manufacturing chain, after such a process has reached a fairly advanced level.

Elms said protectionism is one of the explanations. So is the slowdown of the world's major consumer markets and the fact that some companies are moving production closer to their final markets. However, she said the abov. Cheap Team Sweden Hockey Jerseys   Cheap Team North America Hockey Jerseys   Cheap Minnesota Wild Jerseys   Cheap Dallas Stars Jerseys   Cheap Buffalo Sabres Jerseys   Cheap Detroit Red Wings Jerseys   Cheap Nashville Predators Jerseys   Cheap Toronto Maple Leafs Jerseys   Cheap Carolina Hurricanes Jerseys   Cheap Anaheim Ducks Jerseys

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